Jonny DeLuca has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 2.3% lower than DeLuca's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Wacha.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 27.5% | 22.6% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 14.9% | 4.8% | 19.0% |
DeLuca | -2.3 | -0.6 | +0.0 | +0.3 | -0.9 | -1.8 | -2.9 |
Wacha | -3.7 | -0.5 | -0.4 | +0.3 | -0.4 | -3.2 | -2.4 |
Jonny DeLuca is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. DeLuca has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Jonny DeLuca hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
13.2% of Jonny DeLuca's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jonny DeLuca has 3 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-26 | Pop Out | 99% | |||
2024-05-26 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-05-26 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.