Matchup Machine

Jonny DeLuca

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matchup for Michael Wacha

87th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Jonny DeLuca

375th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Wacha
2

Model Prediction

Jonny DeLuca has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 2.3% lower than DeLuca's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.5%22.6%2.3%5.4%14.9%4.8%19.0%
DeLuca-2.3-0.6+0.0+0.3-0.9-1.8-2.9
Wacha-3.7-0.5-0.4+0.3-0.4-3.2-2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonny DeLuca is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. DeLuca has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Jonny DeLuca hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Jonny DeLuca's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -4.0% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.2% -2.0% 41%         In Play +5.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base -1.6% -3.0% 31%         Hit -0.4% -1.0% 14%         Single +0.2% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +0.1%

History

Jonny DeLuca has 3 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.010.002
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-26Pop Out99%
2024-05-26Strikeout
2024-05-26Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.