Matchup Machine

Jonny DeLuca

sometext

matchup for Aaron Nola

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

sometext

Aaron Nola

sometext

matchup for Jonny DeLuca

369th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Leans in favor of Nola
2

Model Prediction

Jonny DeLuca has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.2% lower than DeLuca's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%23.9%2.6%6.8%14.5%4.7%29.3%
DeLuca-1.2+0.7+0.3+1.6-1.3-1.9+7.5
Nola-0.9+1.5-0.4+0.6+1.4-2.4-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Jonny DeLuca is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. DeLuca has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jonny DeLuca hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Jonny DeLuca's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -4.0% +6.3% 5%         Walk -1.2% -2.8% 41%         In Play +5.3% -3.5% 39%         On Base -1.6% -4.8% 31%         Hit -0.4% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.3% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years