matchup for Tim Herrin
matchup for Ryan Noda
7
Ryan Noda has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Tim Herrin, which is 0.2% higher than Noda's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Herrin.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.3% | 15.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 40.2% |
| Noda | -0.2 | -1.6 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.4 | +1.4 | +3.1 |
| Herrin | -1.5 | -4.6 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -3.6 | +3.1 | +13.0 |
Ryan Noda is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tim Herrin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Noda doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Tim Herrin throws a Slider 33% of the time. Ryan Noda hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (L)
33%
4-Seam (L)
31%
Curve (L)
26%
Sinker (L)
10%
21% of Tim Herrin's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ryan Noda has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+2%
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Mid Challenge
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
3%
-3%
59% of Tim Herrin's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Ryan Noda hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Breaking (L)
59%
+29%
Small Drop
29%
+17%
Very Fast Velo
16%
+13%
Medium Break
20%
+11%
21.2% of Ryan Noda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.1% higher than the league average. Tim Herrin strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
10%
Strikeout
+11.1%
+1.9%
2%
Walk
+5.8%
+1.8%
46%
In Play
-16.9%
-3.8%
39%
On Base
-0.6%
-3.6%
31%
Hit
-6.3%
-5.5%
14%
Single
-4.0%
-2.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.5%
-2.2%
3%
Home Run
+1.1%
-1.0%
43.2% of Ryan Noda's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Tim Herrin induces Standard Grounders at a 44.5% rate, which is 10.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.8%
-0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
+8.8%
+10.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
-3.2%
-2.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.4%
+1.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.2%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.5%
-0.9%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.6%
-1.1%
1%
No Doubter
+0.4%
-0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.7%
-8.3%
3%
Pop up
-2.5%
+0.3%
27.1% of Ryan Noda's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. 19.3% of batted balls allowed by Tim Herrin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-5.8%
+6.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+3.1%
+2.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+4.9%
-5.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-4.9%
+0.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
+2.8%
-5.0%
6.3% of Ryan Noda's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. 6.0% of batted balls allowed by Tim Herrin are hit at this angle, which is 5.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+3.7%
+6.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-7.4%
+1.4%
8%
1 to 6°
+6.1%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+4.3%
+1.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.1%
-4.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-5.2%
-5.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.6%
+0.4%
8%
Above 50°
+1.2%
-1.1%
Ryan Noda has 1 plate appearance against Tim Herrin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-03-31 | Bunt Groundout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
