Matchup Machine

      Ryan Noda

      sometext

      matchup for Andrew Wantz

      out of 436 (Worst %)

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      Andrew Wantz

      sometext

      matchup for Ryan Noda

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Moderate advantage for Wantz
      5

      Model Prediction

      Ryan Noda has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.3% higher than Noda's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Wantz.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Ryan Noda is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Noda has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Ryan Noda has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      45%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Cutter (R)
      24%
         Changeup (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      21.2% of Ryan Noda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.1% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +11.1% +7.5% 2%         Walk +5.8% +2.0% 46%         In Play -16.9% -9.5% 39%         On Base -0.6% -6.5% 31%         Hit -6.3% -8.5% 14%         Single -4.0% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.3%

      History

      Ryan Noda has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual210000010.000
      Expected From Contact →0.030.000.030.010.031
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-30Flyout3%97%
      2023-04-24Walk

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.