Matchup Machine

Ryan Noda

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matchup for Aaron Nola

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Ryan Noda

477th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Extreme advantage for Nola
9

Model Prediction

Ryan Noda has a 25.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.7% lower than Noda's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.8%15.8%2.6%4.0%9.2%10.0%44.6%
Noda-3.7-1.1-0.2+0.1-1.0-2.7+7.4
Nola-3.7-6.6-0.4-2.3-3.9+2.9+13.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan Noda is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Noda has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Ryan Noda hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

21.2% of Ryan Noda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.1% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +11.1% +6.3% 2%         Walk +5.8% -2.8% 46%         In Play -16.9% -3.5% 39%         On Base -0.6% -4.8% 31%         Hit -6.3% -2.0% 14%         Single -4.0% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years