Matchup Machine

Ryan Noda

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Ryan Noda

82nd out of 567 (Best 15%)

Leans in favor of Noda
2

Model Prediction

Ryan Noda has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 4.9% higher than Noda's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%17.1%2.9%4.4%9.7%17.4%33.4%
Noda+4.9+0.2+0.2+0.6-0.5+4.7-3.8
Anderson+0.7-5.2+0.0-0.8-4.4+5.9+11.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan Noda is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Noda doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Ryan Noda hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

21.2% of Ryan Noda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.1% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +11.1% -1.9% 2%         Walk +5.8% -1.0% 46%         In Play -16.9% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.6% -0.1% 31%         Hit -6.3% +0.9% 14%         Single -4.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.2%

History

Ryan Noda has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321100010.500
Expected From Contact →0.930.910.020.000.464
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-03Walk
2023-09-03Home Run91%2%7%
2023-09-03Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.