Matchup Machine

      Ryan Noda

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      matchup for Martin Perez

      out of 436 (Worst %)

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      Martin Perez

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      matchup for Ryan Noda

      182nd out of 564 (Best 33%)

      Moderate advantage for Perez
      3

      Model Prediction

      Ryan Noda has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.1% higher than Noda's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Perez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Ryan Noda is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Noda doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Ryan Noda hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      34%
         Changeup (L)
      25%
         Cutter (L)
      25%
         4-Seam (L)
      8%
         Curve (L)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      21.2% of Ryan Noda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.1% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 12.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +11.1% -5.7% 2%         Walk +5.8% -0.2% 46%         In Play -16.9% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.6% +5.6% 31%         Hit -6.3% +5.8% 14%         Single -4.0% +3.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.5% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -0.6%

      History

      Ryan Noda has 1 plate appearance against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.200.000.000.200.202
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-09Groundout20%80%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.