Matchup Machine

Jordan Westburg

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

324th out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Jordan Westburg

343rd out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Westburg
3

Model Prediction

Jordan Westburg has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.5% lower than Westburg's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%20.6%3.9%4.3%12.4%10.1%23.4%
Westburg-0.5-2.9+0.3-1.1-2.0+2.3-0.3
Schmidt-1.3+1.0+1.4+0.3-0.7-2.3-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jordan Westburg is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Westburg has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Jordan Westburg has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Jordan Westburg's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +0.3% 5%         Walk -2.9% +1.6% 38%         In Play +3.6% -1.9% 39%         On Base +1.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit +4.0% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +3.4% 0.0%

History

Jordan Westburg has 6 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual663012100.500
Expected From Contact →2.520.000.352.170.420
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-24Single15%78%8%
2024-09-24Strikeout
2024-04-29Single3%88%9%
2024-04-29Flyout99%
2023-07-04Double17%49%34%
2023-07-04Flyout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.