Matchup Machine

Jordan Westburg

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matchup for Jose Berrios

388th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Jordan Westburg

80th out of 567 (Best 15%)

Extreme advantage for Westburg
9

Model Prediction

Jordan Westburg has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 2.2% higher than Westburg's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%27.4%4.0%6.7%16.7%6.5%20.1%
Westburg+2.2+4.0+0.6+1.3+2.1-1.7-3.9
Berrios+0.8+2.5+1.1+0.8+0.7-1.7-3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jordan Westburg is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Westburg has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Jordan Westburg has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

14.1% of Jordan Westburg's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.9% +0.7% 5%         Walk -2.6% -0.8% 38%         In Play +3.5% +0.1% 39%         On Base +1.0% -0.3% 31%         Hit +3.7% +0.6% 14%         Single +0.3% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +2.9% +0.2%

History

Jordan Westburg has 9 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 9 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual991001200.111
Expected From Contact →1.500.020.191.290.166
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Single
2025-03-27Pop Out
2025-03-27Strikeout
2024-06-05Flyout2%7%91%
2024-06-05Groundout3%17%80%
2024-06-05Groundout3%97%
2024-05-13Groundout9%7%84%
2024-05-13Flyout100%
2024-05-13Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.