Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Seiya Suzuki

matchup for Roki Sasaki

281st out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Roki Sasaki

matchup for Seiya Suzuki

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Suzuki

Seiya Suzuki has a 40.0% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 6.5% higher than Suzuki's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Sasaki.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	40.0%	18.8%	2.6%	5.9%	10.2%	21.3%	25.7%
Suzuki	+6.5	-1.6	-0.1	+1.0	-2.5	+8.1	-3.5
Sasaki	+2.9	-3.9	-0.5	-0.3	-3.2	+6.8	+3.2

Seiya Suzuki is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Suzuki has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Seiya Suzuki has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

60%

Splitter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

15%

9% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 0% higher than the MLB average. Seiya Suzuki has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-3%

Strong Challenge 1%

-4%

Chaser 1%

-5%

Meatball 1%

-5%

Likely Ball 13%

-7%

Mid Challenge 3%

-9%

52% of Roki Sasaki's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Seiya Suzuki has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 52%

+31%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Offspeed (R) 26%

+14%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

17.7% of Seiya Suzuki's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.2% -4.7% 3%

Walk +3.5% +27.6% 43%

In Play -8.7% -23.0% 39%

On Base +3.8% +14.9% 31%

Hit +0.4% -12.8% 14%

Single -0.3% -3.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -6.7% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -3.1%

29.5% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +8.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.0% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% -6.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.9% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +15.2%

29.0% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at above 100 mph, which is 24.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +10.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.9% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +17.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.7% -24.3%

12.5% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Roki Sasaki are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.2% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.6% -12.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.3% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +1.1% -0.5% 15%

19 to 28° +2.6% -6.2% 11%

29 to 38° +1.1% -11.4% 7%

39 to 50° -1.5% +9.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.3% +10.5%

Seiya Suzuki has 2 plate appearances against Roki Sasaki in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-19	Walk
2025-03-19	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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