Matchup Machine

Seiya Suzuki

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matchup for C. Hernandez

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Seiya Suzuki

182nd out of 567 (Best 33%)

Strong advantage for Suzuki
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Model Prediction

Seiya Suzuki has a 35.9% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 2.4% higher than Suzuki's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.9%19.0%3.0%5.7%10.2%16.9%27.4%
Suzuki+2.4-1.3+0.3+0.8-2.5+3.7-1.9
Hernandez+3.6-2.5-0.1-0.1-2.4+6.2+3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Seiya Suzuki is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Suzuki has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Seiya Suzuki has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Seiya Suzuki's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% -1.8% 3%         Walk +3.5% +2.0% 43%         In Play -8.7% -0.2% 39%         On Base +3.8% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.4% -1.1% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years