Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Seiya Suzuki

matchup for Zac Gallen

221st out of 436 (Best 51%)

Zac Gallen

matchup for Seiya Suzuki

397th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Gallen

Seiya Suzuki has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 0.9% higher than Suzuki's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Gallen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.6%	17.4%	2.3%	4.0%	11.1%	17.2%	36.8%
Suzuki	+0.9	-2.7	-0.3	-1.0	-1.4	+3.6	+7.7
Gallen	+1.9	-2.5	-0.4	-0.4	-1.6	+4.5	+5.3

Seiya Suzuki is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Suzuki has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Seiya Suzuki has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Kn-Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

14%

Cutter (R)

10%

22% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Seiya Suzuki has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Seiya Suzuki has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 25%

+16%

Extreme Drop 19%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+8%

17.1% of Seiya Suzuki's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +4.3% +3.5% 3%

Walk +3.7% -0.3% 43%

In Play -8.0% -3.2% 39%

On Base +4.1% -2.0% 31%

Hit +0.4% -1.7% 14%

Single +0.0% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.2% -0.6% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -0.1%

29.0% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen induces Standard Grounders at a 32.8% rate, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.4% -1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +2.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.1% +1.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.0% +0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +0.5% -1.5%

29.1% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.8% higher than the league average. 26.5% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.0% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.1% -2.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.8% +2.2%

12.4% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.2% -0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.8% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.2% +1.0% 15%

19 to 28° +2.9% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.0% -0.8% 7%

39 to 50° -1.6% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° -0.1% -1.6%

Seiya Suzuki has 14 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 12 with 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	12	2	0	0	2	5	2	0.167
Expected From Contact →			1.77	0.00	0.03	1.74			0.148

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Field Error
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Flyout
2024-07-20	Strikeout
2024-07-20	Walk
2024-07-20	Walk
2023-09-08	Single
2023-09-08	Single			54%	45%
2023-09-08	Strikeout
2022-05-19	Strikeout
2022-05-19	Groundout			19%	81%
2022-05-14	Flyout				99%
2022-05-14	Strikeout
2022-05-14	Flyout		2%		97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe