Matchup Machine

Seiya Suzuki

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

400th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Seiya Suzuki

193rd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Strong advantage for Suzuki
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Model Prediction

Seiya Suzuki has a 36.8% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 3.3% higher than Suzuki's typical expectations, and 4.9% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.8%19.5%2.8%4.4%12.2%17.4%27.2%
Suzuki+3.3-0.9+0.1-0.5-0.5+4.2-2.0
Schmidt+4.9-0.1+0.4+0.4-0.9+5.0+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Seiya Suzuki is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Suzuki has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Seiya Suzuki has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Seiya Suzuki's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% +0.3% 3%         Walk +3.5% +1.6% 43%         In Play -8.7% -1.9% 39%         On Base +3.8% -0.3% 31%         Hit +0.4% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.8% 0.0%

History

Seiya Suzuki has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.000.003
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-07Strikeout
2024-09-07Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.