Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Seiya Suzuki

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

143rd out of 436 (Best 34%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for Seiya Suzuki

399th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Thielbar

Seiya Suzuki has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 1.4% lower than Suzuki's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.1%	18.4%	3.0%	4.6%	10.7%	13.7%	35.0%
Suzuki	-1.4	-2.0	+0.3	-0.3	-1.9	+0.5	+5.7
Thielbar	+0.2	-3.4	-0.3	-0.4	-2.7	+3.7	+7.0

Seiya Suzuki is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Suzuki has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Seiya Suzuki has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Seiya Suzuki has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Seiya Suzuki has an A- grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

17.7% of Seiya Suzuki's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.2% +5.2% 3%

Walk +3.5% +1.9% 43%

In Play -8.7% -7.1% 39%

On Base +3.8% -6.1% 31%

Hit +0.4% -8.0% 14%

Single -0.3% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +0.2%

29.5% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.0% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.0% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.9% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% +2.4% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +5.0%

29.0% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.9% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.7% -1.0%

12.5% of Seiya Suzuki's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%