Matchup Machine

Seiya Suzuki

sometext

matchup for Tyler Anderson

207th out of 436 (Best 48%)

sometext

Tyler Anderson

sometext

matchup for Seiya Suzuki

242nd out of 567 (Best 44%)

Moderate advantage for Suzuki
5

Model Prediction

Seiya Suzuki has a 36.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.2% higher than Suzuki's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.7%18.4%2.2%4.0%12.2%18.3%27.1%
Suzuki+3.2-1.9-0.5-0.9-0.4+5.1-2.1
Anderson+3.0-3.8-0.7-1.3-1.9+6.8+5.5

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Seiya Suzuki is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Suzuki has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Seiya Suzuki has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Seiya Suzuki's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% -1.9% 3%         Walk +3.5% -1.0% 43%         In Play -8.7% +2.9% 39%         On Base +3.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.4% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.3% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.2%

History

Seiya Suzuki has 12 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 12 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual12122011400.167
Expected From Contact →1.780.000.910.870.148
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Groundout4%4%92%
2024-07-06Strikeout
2024-07-06Flyout100%
2023-06-06Single2%25%73%
2023-06-06Strikeout
2023-06-06Flyout2%8%90%
2022-07-08Fielders Choice Out9%91%
2022-07-08Lineout14%3%83%
2022-07-08Groundout17%83%
2022-05-07Triple70%20%11%
2022-05-07Strikeout
2022-05-07Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.