Matchup Machine

Ha-seong Kim

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

373rd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Ha-seong Kim

401st out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Kim
4

Model Prediction

Ha-seong Kim has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.3% lower than Kim's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%21.4%1.4%5.7%14.3%12.0%18.1%
Kim-1.3-1.0-0.7+0.8-1.1-0.3-0.3
Weathers+3.6-0.1-0.6+0.1+0.4+3.7-6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ha-seong Kim is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Kim has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ha-seong Kim has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Ha-seong Kim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.1% -2.1% 3%         Walk +3.4% -0.6% 38%         In Play +3.7% +2.7% 39%         On Base +8.0% +0.9% 31%         Hit +4.6% +1.5% 14%         Single +2.3% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

History

Ha-seong Kim has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222110001.000
Expected From Contact →0.550.440.100.010.276
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-21Double1%99%
2023-08-21Home Run44%9%46%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.