Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ha-seong Kim

matchup for Ryne Nelson

323rd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

Ryne Nelson

matchup for Ha-seong Kim

446th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Kim

Ha-seong Kim has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 2.7% lower than Kim's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Nelson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.1%	24.1%	1.8%	4.9%	17.3%	8.0%	19.0%
Kim	-2.7	+1.6	-0.3	+0.0	+1.9	-4.3	+0.7
Nelson	+2.0	+0.6	-0.9	+0.0	+1.5	+1.4	-7.2

Ha-seong Kim is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kim has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Ha-seong Kim has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Cutter (R)

15%

Slider (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

11%

Curve (R)

15% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Ha-seong Kim has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Ha-seong Kim has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 29%

+19%

Fastball (R) 72%

+18%

Small Break 25%

+16%

Fast Velo 29%

+14%

10.4% of Ha-seong Kim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.1% -2.9% 3%

Walk +3.4% -2.2% 38%

In Play +3.7% +5.1% 39%

On Base +8.0% +0.3% 31%

Hit +4.6% +2.5% 14%

Single +2.3% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% +1.5% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

34.2% of Ha-seong Kim's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.2% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.2% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer +3.5% +1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% +2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.5% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +0.8% 3%

Pop up +3.9% -0.5%

18.1% of Ha-seong Kim's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.2% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.7% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.4% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.1% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.1% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -6.2% +4.8%

9.1% of Ha-seong Kim's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.2% +2.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -2.6% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% +5.0% 15%

19 to 28° -1.8% -4.1% 11%

29 to 38° -2.3% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° +0.4% +0.6% 8%

Above 50° +3.9% -0.1%

Ha-seong Kim has 17 plate appearances against Ryne Nelson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 15 with a home run, 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	17	15	3	1	0	2	4	2	0.200
Expected From Contact →			3.50	1.29	0.62	1.59			0.233

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-07	Single			93%	6%
2024-07-07	Strikeout
2024-06-08	Home Run	52%	26%	2%	20%
2024-06-08	Walk
2024-05-05	Flyout	77%	9%		14%
2024-05-05	Walk
2023-08-11	Pop Out				100%
2023-08-11	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-04-20	Strikeout
2023-04-20	Flyout				100%
2023-04-03	Groundout			12%	88%
2023-04-03	Groundout			2%	97%
2022-09-18	Flyout				100%
2022-09-18	Strikeout
2022-09-05	Strikeout
2022-09-05	Groundout			4%	95%
2022-09-05	Single		25%	40%	36%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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