Matchup Machine

Ha-seong Kim

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matchup for Felix Bautista

417th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Felix Bautista

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matchup for Ha-seong Kim

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Kim
3

Model Prediction

Ha-seong Kim has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 1.3% higher than Kim's typical expectations, and 7.0% higher than batters facing Bautista.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.1%15.3%2.2%3.0%10.2%20.8%27.1%
Kim+1.3-7.1+0.1-1.9-5.3+8.4+8.8
Bautista+7.0-1.1-0.40.0-0.7+8.2-8.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ha-seong Kim is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kim has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Ha-seong Kim has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
65%
   Splitter (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Ha-seong Kim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.1% +19.3% 3%         Walk +3.4% +2.3% 38%         In Play +3.7% -21.6% 39%         On Base +8.0% -10.2% 31%         Hit +4.6% -12.5% 14%         Single +2.3% -5.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -5.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -1.3%

History

Ha-seong Kim has 1 plate appearance against Felix Bautista in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.002
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-14Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.