Matchup Machine

Luis Robert

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matchup for Reid Detmers

72nd out of 436 (Best 17%)

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Reid Detmers

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matchup for Luis Robert

440th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Moderate advantage for Detmers
5

Model Prediction

Luis Robert has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 0.8% lower than Robert's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Detmers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%21.2%2.6%5.3%13.3%8.5%41.0%
Robert-0.8-1.6+0.1-0.6-1.1+0.8+10.8
Detmers-2.4-1.1-0.7+0.3-0.7-1.4+8.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Robert is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Robert has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Luis Robert has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

19.5% of Luis Robert's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.2% +6.4% 5%         Walk -2.7% -0.2% 42%         In Play -5.6% -6.1% 39%         On Base -5.7% -3.3% 31%         Hit -3.1% -3.1% 14%         Single -1.9% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.5% -1.9% 3%         Home Run +0.4% +1.2%

History

Luis Robert has 6 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual652101210.400
Expected From Contact →1.210.920.020.270.241
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-16Walk
2024-09-16Single26%74%
2024-09-16Pop Out99%
2023-06-26Strikeout
2023-06-26Strikeout
2023-06-26Home Run92%2%6%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.