Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Luis Robert

matchup for Chris Paddack

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Luis Robert

167th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Moderate advantage for Robert

Luis Robert has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 0.5% higher than Robert's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	25.1%	3.2%	7.9%	14.0%	4.9%	27.9%
Robert	-0.5	+2.3	+0.7	+2.0	-0.5	-2.8	-2.3
Paddack	-0.3	+1.4	-0.2	+2.3	-0.8	-1.6	+5.7

Luis Robert is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Robert has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Luis Robert has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Luis Robert has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Luis Robert has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

19.5% of Luis Robert's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.2% +4.3% 5%

Walk -2.7% -3.2% 42%

In Play -5.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base -5.7% -3.8% 31%

Hit -3.1% -0.6% 14%

Single -1.9% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.5% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.0%

28.5% of Luis Robert's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.9% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner 0.0% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% +0.3% 3%

Pop up +1.6% +0.3%

32.0% of Luis Robert's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.7% higher than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.3% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.8% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.9% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.7% +5.8%

10.0% of Luis Robert's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%