Matchup Machine

Yainer Diaz

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matchup for Shota Imanaga

249th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Shota Imanaga

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matchup for Yainer Diaz

378th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Diaz
1

Model Prediction

Yainer Diaz has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Shota Imanaga, which is 3.3% lower than Diaz's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Imanaga.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%23.8%3.6%5.8%14.5%4.4%23.6%
Diaz-3.3-2.2+1.1+0.5-3.9-1.1+2.4
Imanaga-0.6+1.8+0.1-0.2+1.9-2.4-1.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Yainer Diaz is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Shota Imanaga is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Diaz has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Shota Imanaga throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Yainer Diaz has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
52%
   Splitter (L)
31%
   Slider (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Yainer Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Shota Imanaga strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.1% +0.2% 6%         Walk -4.1% -2.9% 36%         In Play +9.2% +2.7% 39%         On Base +9.2% -5.5% 31%         Hit +13.3% -2.6% 14%         Single +6.3% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +6.7% -1.5% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years