matchup for Bryce Miller
matchup for Yainer Diaz
1
Yainer Diaz has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 0.8% lower than Diaz's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Miller.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.9% | 25.5% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 17.7% | 5.4% | 26.4% |
| Diaz | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.1 | +0.2 | -0.5 | -0.4 | +4.7 |
| Miller | +1.7 | +5.1 | +0.0 | +1.1 | +4.0 | -3.4 | -3.4 |
Yainer Diaz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Diaz has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Yainer Diaz has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
49%
Slider (R)
20%
Sinker (R)
13%
Splitter (R)
10%
8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Yainer Diaz hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
8%
+3%
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Yainer Diaz has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fast Velo
43%
+28%
High Ride
29%
+19%
Small Break
21%
+13%
Fastball (R)
64%
+10%
11.4% of Yainer Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-5.3%
+0.1%
6%
Walk
-4.1%
-2.5%
36%
In Play
+9.4%
+2.4%
39%
On Base
+8.9%
-3.1%
31%
Hit
+13.0%
-0.7%
14%
Single
+6.2%
-0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
+6.6%
-0.3%
3%
Home Run
+0.2%
+0.5%
38.2% of Yainer Diaz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 29.2% rate, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+3.8%
-5.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.7%
+2.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.1%
-0.9%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.6%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.9%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
-1.4%
1%
No Doubter
+1.3%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.2%
+5.7%
3%
Pop up
-1.1%
-1.1%
28.1% of Yainer Diaz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.2%
-2.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.7%
-3.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.2%
-0.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.3%
+5.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
+3.8%
+0.6%
10.3% of Yainer Diaz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.3%
-0.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.0%
-3.0%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.5%
+1.0%
18%
7 to 18°
+3.9%
+0.8%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.4%
-0.7%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.2%
-0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
-2.9%
+1.6%
8%
Above 50°
-1.2%
+1.9%
Yainer Diaz has 8 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.375 |
| Expected From Contact → | 3.19 | 0.25 | 0.72 | 2.21 | 0.398 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-23 | Single | 68% | 32% | ||
| 2024-09-23 | Groundout | 22% | 78% | ||
| 2024-09-23 | Flyout | 4% | 3% | 93% | |
| 2024-05-05 | Groundout | 32% | 67% | ||
| 2024-05-05 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-08-18 | Single | 89% | 10% | ||
| 2023-08-18 | Field Error | ||||
| 2023-08-18 | Double | 22% | 68% | 9% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
