Matchup Machine

Yainer Diaz

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matchup for Ryan Feltner

396th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Ryan Feltner

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matchup for Yainer Diaz

28th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Diaz
10

Model Prediction

Yainer Diaz has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 4.6% higher than Diaz's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Feltner.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.1%30.7%2.6%7.1%20.9%5.5%16.2%
Diaz+4.6+4.6+0.2+1.9+2.5+0.0-5.0
Feltner+2.8+6.0-0.2+1.1+5.1-3.2-4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Yainer Diaz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Diaz has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Yainer Diaz has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
15%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Yainer Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.1% -5.1% 6%         Walk -4.1% 0.0% 36%         In Play +9.2% +5.1% 39%         On Base +9.2% +5.3% 31%         Hit +13.3% +5.3% 14%         Single +6.3% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +6.7% +2.7% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

History

Yainer Diaz has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332002000.667
Expected From Contact →1.490.000.031.460.495
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-26Single63%37%
2024-06-26Lineout1%21%78%
2024-06-26Single1%62%37%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.