Matchup Machine

Yainer Diaz

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matchup for Zach Eflin

179th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Zach Eflin

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matchup for Yainer Diaz

377th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Diaz
1

Model Prediction

Yainer Diaz has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 2.9% lower than Diaz's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Eflin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%25.1%2.3%5.7%17.2%3.5%16.6%
Diaz-2.9-0.9-0.2+0.4-1.2-2.0-4.6
Eflin-0.8+2.0-0.9+0.1+2.7-2.8-2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Yainer Diaz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Diaz has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Yainer Diaz has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
33%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Yainer Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.1% 0.0% 6%         Walk -4.1% -4.0% 36%         In Play +9.2% +4.0% 39%         On Base +9.2% -3.7% 31%         Hit +13.3% +0.2% 14%         Single +6.3% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +6.7% +0.0% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years