Matchup Machine

Lenyn Sosa

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matchup for Andrew Abbott

290th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Andrew Abbott

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matchup for Lenyn Sosa

110th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for Sosa
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Model Prediction

Lenyn Sosa has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 0.9% higher than Sosa's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Abbott.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%25.3%3.6%6.0%15.8%5.2%18.4%
Sosa+0.9+0.8+1.3+0.1-0.6+0.1-3.5
Abbott-1.5+3.8+0.4+0.6+2.8-5.3-3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Lenyn Sosa is better vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Sosa doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
52%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% -1.6% 6%         Walk -5.2% +0.9% 36%         In Play +8.6% +0.7% 39%         On Base +3.9% -1.6% 31%         Hit +9.1% -2.5% 14%         Single +4.2% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.2%

History

Lenyn Sosa has 3 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.630.000.010.630.211
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-12Strikeout
2024-04-12Lineout63%37%
2024-04-12Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.