Matchup Machine

Lenyn Sosa

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matchup for Zac Gallen

223rd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Zac Gallen

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matchup for Lenyn Sosa

302nd out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Leans in favor of Sosa
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Model Prediction

Lenyn Sosa has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 1.0% higher than Sosa's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Gallen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%23.9%2.4%6.4%15.1%6.7%27.8%
Sosa+1.0-0.6+0.0+0.5-1.2+1.6+5.9
Gallen-2.1+2.9-0.4+1.3+2.1-5.0-2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Lenyn Sosa is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Sosa doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Kn-Curve (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Cutter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +3.5% 6%         Walk -5.2% -0.3% 36%         In Play +8.6% -3.2% 39%         On Base +3.9% -1.8% 31%         Hit +9.1% -1.5% 14%         Single +4.2% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years