Matchup Machine

Lenyn Sosa

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matchup for Felix Bautista

111st out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Felix Bautista

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matchup for Lenyn Sosa

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Bautista
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Model Prediction

Lenyn Sosa has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 3.9% lower than Sosa's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Bautista.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.7%18.0%1.8%4.1%12.2%7.7%34.8%
Sosa-3.9-6.5-0.6-1.8-4.1+2.6+12.9
Bautista-3.3+1.6-0.8+1.1+1.3-4.9-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Lenyn Sosa is worse vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sosa doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
65%
   Splitter (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +19.3% 6%         Walk -5.2% +2.3% 36%         In Play +8.6% -21.6% 39%         On Base +3.9% -10.2% 31%         Hit +9.1% -12.5% 14%         Single +4.2% -5.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% -5.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -1.3%

History

Lenyn Sosa has 3 plate appearances against Felix Bautista in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-16Strikeout
2023-04-14Strikeout
2022-06-23Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.