Lenyn Sosa has a 25.7% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 3.9% lower than Sosa's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Bautista.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 25.7% | 18.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 34.8% |
Sosa | -3.9 | -6.5 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -4.1 | +2.6 | +12.9 |
Bautista | -3.3 | +1.6 | -0.8 | +1.1 | +1.3 | -4.9 | -0.9 |
Lenyn Sosa is worse vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sosa doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
12.6% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Lenyn Sosa has 3 plate appearances against Felix Bautista in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 3 strikeouts.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-04-16 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-04-14 | Strikeout | ||||
2022-06-23 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.