Matchup Machine

Lenyn Sosa

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matchup for Tyler Mahle

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Tyler Mahle

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matchup for Lenyn Sosa

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Mahle
2

Model Prediction

Lenyn Sosa has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 1.5% lower than Sosa's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Mahle.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%22.9%2.9%4.8%15.2%5.2%22.9%
Sosa-1.5-1.6+0.5-1.1-1.1+0.1+1.0
Mahle-2.3+1.9-0.5+0.5+1.9-4.1-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Lenyn Sosa is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Sosa has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +10.2% 6%         Walk -5.2% -1.2% 36%         In Play +8.6% -9.0% 39%         On Base +3.9% -5.6% 31%         Hit +9.1% -4.3% 14%         Single +4.2% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years