Matchup Machine

Lenyn Sosa

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

222nd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for Lenyn Sosa

77th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Strong advantage for Sosa
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Model Prediction

Lenyn Sosa has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 3.1% higher than Sosa's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%27.0%2.6%6.2%18.2%5.7%16.9%
Sosa+3.1+2.5+0.2+0.4+1.9+0.6-5.0
Chirinos-1.4+3.1-0.5+1.0+2.6-4.6-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Lenyn Sosa is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Sosa doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% -7.8% 6%         Walk -5.2% -0.6% 36%         In Play +8.6% +8.3% 39%         On Base +3.9% +2.3% 31%         Hit +9.1% +2.9% 14%         Single +4.2% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.4%

History

Lenyn Sosa has 3 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →1.530.000.371.160.510
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Groundout19%81%
2024-07-06Single85%15%
2023-04-23Groundout37%12%51%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.