Matchup Machine

Lenyn Sosa

sometext

matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

221st out of 436 (Best 51%)

sometext

Yusei Kikuchi

sometext

matchup for Lenyn Sosa

489th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Moderate advantage for Kikuchi
5

Model Prediction

Lenyn Sosa has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 3.9% lower than Sosa's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Kikuchi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%22.0%2.8%5.4%13.9%4.1%29.2%
Sosa-3.9-2.7+0.3-0.4-2.7-1.2+7.0
Kikuchi-1.4+1.3+0.1+0.2+0.9-2.7-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Lenyn Sosa is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Sosa doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
11%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.6% +4.3% 6%         Walk -5.1% -1.5% 36%         In Play +8.7% -2.8% 39%         On Base +3.5% -1.2% 31%         Hit +8.7% +0.3% 14%         Single +4.1% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.0%

History

Lenyn Sosa has 4 plate appearances against Yusei Kikuchi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual440000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.520.040.470.010.129
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Lineout
2025-03-27Flyout
2023-04-26Flyout4%46%50%
2023-04-26Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.