Matchup Machine

Lenyn Sosa

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matchup for Jose Quintana

162nd out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Jose Quintana

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matchup for Lenyn Sosa

294th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Sosa
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Model Prediction

Lenyn Sosa has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 0.2% higher than Sosa's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Quintana.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.8%23.9%2.1%5.2%16.7%5.8%18.3%
Sosa+0.2-0.6-0.3-0.6+0.4+0.7-3.6
Quintana-2.4+2.00.0+0.1+1.9-4.4-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Lenyn Sosa is better vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Sosa doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Lenyn Sosa has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
31%
   Curve (L)
28%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Lenyn Sosa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +0.4% 6%         Walk -5.2% -1.1% 36%         In Play +8.6% +0.7% 39%         On Base +3.9% +1.3% 31%         Hit +9.1% +2.5% 14%         Single +4.2% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.4% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.8%

History

Lenyn Sosa has 2 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-31Field Error
2024-08-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.