Matchup Machine

Wenceel Perez

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Wenceel Perez

269th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Perez
3

Model Prediction

Wenceel Perez has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 2.3% higher than Perez's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%18.9%2.3%4.6%12.1%14.2%21.5%
Perez+2.3-2.8-0.7-0.5-1.6+5.0-1.7
Schmidt+1.2-0.6-0.1+0.5-1.0+1.8-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Wenceel Perez is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Perez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Wenceel Perez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Wenceel Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% +0.3% 5%         Walk -0.8% +1.6% 41%         In Play +1.9% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.4% -0.3% 31%         Hit +3.2% -2.0% 14%         Single +1.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.4% 0.0%

History

Wenceel Perez has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.870.000.330.540.434
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-04Single33%54%13%
2024-05-04Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.