Wenceel Perez has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 2.3% higher than Perez's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Schmidt.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.1% | 18.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 21.5% |
Perez | +2.3 | -2.8 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -1.6 | +5.0 | -1.7 |
Schmidt | +1.2 | -0.6 | -0.1 | +0.5 | -1.0 | +1.8 | -3.5 |
Wenceel Perez is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Perez has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Wenceel Perez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
14.7% of Wenceel Perez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Wenceel Perez has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.54 | 0.434 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-04 | Single | 33% | 54% | 13% | |
2024-05-04 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.