Matchup Machine

Geraldo Perdomo

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matchup for Pablo Lopez

280th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Pablo Lopez

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matchup for Geraldo Perdomo

442nd out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Leans in favor of Perdomo
1

Model Prediction

Geraldo Perdomo has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 2.1% lower than Perdomo's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Lopez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%24.6%1.5%4.4%18.7%6.6%18.2%
Perdomo-2.1+2.2-0.1-0.4+2.7-4.3+1.7
Lopez+0.6+0.9-1.0-0.1+2.0-0.2-7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Geraldo Perdomo is worse vs right-handed pitching. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Perdomo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Geraldo Perdomo has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Geraldo Perdomo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.8% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.8% +4.2% 3%         Walk +2.2% -2.5% 37%         In Play +5.6% -1.7% 39%         On Base +4.5% -1.8% 31%         Hit +2.4% +0.7% 14%         Single +1.9% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.8% -0.4%

History

Geraldo Perdomo has 3 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.100.000.050.050.032
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-11Flyout5%5%90%
2022-05-02Strikeout
2022-05-02Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.