Matchup Machine

Geraldo Perdomo

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

291st out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Geraldo Perdomo

195th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Strong advantage for Perdomo
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Model Prediction

Geraldo Perdomo has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.2% higher than Perdomo's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%25.6%1.4%5.3%18.9%9.9%17.2%
Perdomo+2.2+3.2-0.1+0.4+2.9-1.0+0.8
Suarez+1.5+0.8-1.0-0.4+2.3+0.6-7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Geraldo Perdomo is better vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Perdomo has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Geraldo Perdomo has an F grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Geraldo Perdomo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.8% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.8% +0.1% 3%         Walk +2.2% -1.2% 37%         In Play +5.6% +1.1% 39%         On Base +4.5% +1.9% 31%         Hit +2.4% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.9% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% +2.2% 3%         Home Run -1.8% -0.9%

History

Geraldo Perdomo has 11 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 10 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11103003210.300
Expected From Contact →3.520.000.013.510.352
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-24Sac Bunt
2023-10-24Groundout85%15%
2023-10-19Strikeout
2023-10-19Strikeout
2023-06-14Groundout3%97%
2023-06-14Single93%7%
2023-06-14Single6%94%
2022-08-29Groundout21%79%
2022-08-29Walk
2022-06-12Groundout58%41%
2022-06-12Single84%16%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.