Matchup Machine

Geraldo Perdomo

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matchup for Caleb Thielbar

310th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Caleb Thielbar

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matchup for Geraldo Perdomo

286th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Perdomo
5

Model Prediction

Geraldo Perdomo has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.6% higher than Perdomo's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%22.5%1.5%5.2%15.8%11.5%17.5%
Perdomo+0.6+0.1-0.1+0.4-0.2+0.6+1.1
Thielbar+2.1+0.7-1.8+0.2+2.3+1.4-10.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Geraldo Perdomo is better vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Perdomo has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Geraldo Perdomo has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Geraldo Perdomo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.8% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.8% +5.2% 3%         Walk +2.2% +1.9% 37%         In Play +5.6% -7.1% 39%         On Base +4.5% -6.1% 31%         Hit +2.4% -8.0% 14%         Single +1.9% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -1.8% +0.2%

History

Geraldo Perdomo has 3 plate appearances against Caleb Thielbar in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual320000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.230.000.000.230.117
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-27Groundout23%77%
2023-08-04Strikeout
2022-06-19Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.