Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Otto Lopez

matchup for Jared Jones

130th out of 436 (Best 31%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Otto Lopez

499th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

Otto Lopez has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.7% lower than Lopez's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	21.9%	1.8%	4.2%	15.9%	7.3%	25.4%
Lopez	-2.7	-2.9	-0.1	-0.7	-2.1	+0.3	+6.0
Jones	-1.8	+1.1	-1.2	-0.8	+3.0	-2.9	-3.1

Otto Lopez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lopez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Otto Lopez has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Otto Lopez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Otto Lopez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

10.5% of Otto Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -7.5% +0.4% 5%

Walk -1.4% +0.6% 38%

In Play +8.9% -1.1% 39%

On Base +9.8% -0.1% 31%

Hit +11.2% -0.8% 14%

Single +6.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +6.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.9%

42.2% of Otto Lopez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.8% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.6% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.5%

24.3% of Otto Lopez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.5% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.2% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.5% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.0% +0.4%

7.0% of Otto Lopez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%