Matchup Machine

Otto Lopez

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

224th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Otto Lopez

435th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Otto Lopez has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.6% lower than Lopez's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%23.7%1.5%4.7%17.6%5.5%18.0%
Lopez-2.6-1.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-1.5-1.5
Weathers-0.6+2.2-0.6-0.9+3.7-2.8-6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Otto Lopez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Lopez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Otto Lopez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Otto Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -7.5% -2.1% 5%         Walk -1.4% -0.6% 38%         In Play +8.9% +2.7% 39%         On Base +9.8% +0.9% 31%         Hit +11.2% +1.5% 14%         Single +6.0% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +6.4% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years