Matchup Machine

Otto Lopez

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matchup for Tanner Houck

207th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Otto Lopez

370th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Leans in favor of Lopez
1

Model Prediction

Otto Lopez has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.5% higher than Lopez's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%23.8%1.1%4.0%18.7%7.6%15.7%
Lopez-0.5-1.0-0.8-1.0+0.7+0.6-3.8
Houck-0.3+1.7-1.0-0.4+3.1-2.1-4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Otto Lopez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lopez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Otto Lopez has a B+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Otto Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -7.5% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.4% +0.2% 38%         In Play +8.9% +1.4% 39%         On Base +9.8% +0.4% 31%         Hit +11.2% +0.3% 14%         Single +6.0% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +6.4% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years