Matchup Machine

Otto Lopez

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matchup for Michael Wacha

204th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Otto Lopez

317th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Lopez
2

Model Prediction

Otto Lopez has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.9% lower than Lopez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%25.4%2.1%4.7%18.6%5.6%19.0%
Lopez-0.9+0.6+0.2-0.2+0.6-1.5-0.5
Wacha-0.2+2.3-0.6-0.4+3.3-2.5-2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Otto Lopez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Lopez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Otto Lopez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Otto Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -7.5% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.4% -2.0% 38%         In Play +8.9% +1.5% 39%         On Base +9.8% -3.0% 31%         Hit +11.2% -1.0% 14%         Single +6.0% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +6.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years