Matchup Machine

      Maikel Garcia

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      matchup for Yonny Chirinos

      323rd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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      Yonny Chirinos

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      matchup for Maikel Garcia

      79th out of 564 (Best 15%)

      Strong advantage for Garcia
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      Model Prediction

      Maikel Garcia has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 2.0% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Maikel Garcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Garcia has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Maikel Garcia has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      51%
         Slider (R)
      25%
         Splitter (R)
      20%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.0% of Maikel Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 9.9% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% -7.8% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.5% 36%         In Play +8.8% +8.3% 39%         On Base +5.3% +2.4% 31%         Hit +6.4% +2.9% 14%         Single +3.9% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% +1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.8% +0.4%

      History

      Maikel Garcia has 8 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with 2 walks

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual861001220.167
      Expected From Contact →1.140.000.001.130.189
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-06-25Walk
      2024-06-25Walk
      2024-06-25Strikeout
      2023-07-16Groundout2%97%
      2023-07-16Single82%17%
      2023-06-24Strikeout
      2023-06-24Groundout15%85%
      2023-06-24Groundout14%86%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.