Maikel Garcia has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 0.8% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Vieira.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.3% | 20.6% | 1.3% | 4.5% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 16.4% |
Garcia | +0.8 | -3.8 | -0.2 | -0.8 | -2.9 | +4.6 | +0.6 |
Vieira | -0.4 | +0.5 | -1.0 | -0.1 | +1.6 | -0.9 | -8.0 |
Maikel Garcia is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Maikel Garcia has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
10.1% of Maikel Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Maikel Garcia has 1 plate appearance against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.34 | 0.364 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-07 | Single | 2% | 34% | 64% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.