Matchup Machine

Maikel Garcia

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matchup for Thyago Vieira

241st out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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Thyago Vieira

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matchup for Maikel Garcia

333rd out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Garcia
3

Model Prediction

Maikel Garcia has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 0.8% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Vieira.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.3%20.6%1.3%4.5%14.9%12.6%16.4%
Garcia+0.8-3.8-0.2-0.8-2.9+4.6+0.6
Vieira-0.4+0.5-1.0-0.1+1.6-0.9-8.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Maikel Garcia is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Maikel Garcia has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

10.1% of Maikel Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.5% -2.2% 5%         Walk -1.6% +4.2% 36%         In Play +9.1% -2.0% 39%         On Base +5.2% +1.5% 31%         Hit +6.8% -2.7% 14%         Single +4.2% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.6% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.9%

History

Maikel Garcia has 1 plate appearance against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.360.000.020.340.364
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-07Single2%34%64%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.