matchup for Shelby Miller
2
Maikel Garcia has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 1.9% lower than Garcia's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Miller.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.8% | 23.4% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 16.5% | 7.4% | 16.3% |
| Garcia | -1.9 | -0.3 | +0.5 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -1.6 | -0.1 |
| Miller | +1.6 | +2.3 | -1.7 | -0.2 | +4.2 | -0.7 | -8.5 |
Maikel Garcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Garcia has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Maikel Garcia has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
56%
Slider (R)
11%
Curve (R)
10%
Splitter (R)
9%
Cutter (R)
7%
14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Maikel Garcia has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Non-Competitive
14%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Meatball
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
Chaser
4%
-2%
Likely Ball
17%
-3%
27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Maikel Garcia has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
High Ride
27%
+16%
Medium Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Medium Break
31%
+12%
Fastball (R)
64%
+10%
10.1% of Maikel Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-7.5%
+0.3%
5%
Walk
-1.6%
+0.8%
36%
In Play
+9.1%
-1.1%
39%
On Base
+5.2%
-4.9%
31%
Hit
+6.8%
-5.7%
14%
Single
+4.2%
-3.1%
13%
2B / 3B
+4.6%
-2.8%
3%
Home Run
-1.9%
+0.3%
39.1% of Maikel Garcia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.3%
-0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+4.7%
-0.4%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.1%
0.0%
14%
Low Screamer
-4.1%
-2.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+2.5%
-0.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.0%
-1.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-2.8%
-0.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.1%
+0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.2%
+3.5%
3%
Pop up
+0.6%
+1.2%
26.5% of Maikel Garcia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.4%
-4.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.9%
-1.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.3%
+2.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.8%
+2.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
+2.2%
+1.2%
10.9% of Maikel Garcia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+6.8%
-0.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.4%
+0.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.9%
+0.1%
18%
7 to 18°
+2.1%
-2.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-4.3%
-2.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.6%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-3.6%
+2.4%
8%
Above 50°
-1.0%
+3.6%
Maikel Garcia has 2 plate appearances against Shelby Miller in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-04 | Walk | ||||
| 2024-04-28 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
