Matchup Machine

Maikel Garcia

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

244th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Maikel Garcia

191st out of 567 (Best 35%)

Strong advantage for Garcia
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Model Prediction

Maikel Garcia has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.8% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%24.5%1.4%4.9%18.1%9.8%13.4%
Garcia+1.8+0.00.0-0.3+0.3+1.8-2.3
Anderson+0.6+2.2-1.5-0.3+4.0-1.7-8.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Maikel Garcia is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Garcia has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Maikel Garcia has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

10.1% of Maikel Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.5% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.6% -1.0% 36%         In Play +9.1% +2.9% 39%         On Base +5.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +6.8% +0.9% 14%         Single +4.2% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +4.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -0.2%

History

Maikel Garcia has 9 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 8 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual984013010.500
Expected From Contact →3.350.000.522.830.419
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-20Single4%44%52%
2024-08-20Walk
2024-08-20Flyout1%98%
2024-08-20Lineout2%56%41%
2024-05-11Single5%75%20%
2024-05-11Lineout5%11%85%
2024-05-11Flyout2%6%91%
2023-06-18Single8%74%18%
2023-06-18Double26%15%59%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.