Matchup Machine

Gabriel Moreno

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matchup for Declan Cronin

360th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for Gabriel Moreno

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Moreno
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Model Prediction

Gabriel Moreno has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 0.4% higher than Moreno's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%23.3%1.7%4.1%17.5%12.0%18.8%
Moreno-0.4+0.1-0.5-0.7+1.3-0.5-0.4
Cronin+2.9+0.1-0.6-0.5+1.2+2.8-5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Moreno is worse vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Moreno has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% -0.3% 3%         Walk +4.2% -0.3% 38%         In Play +4.2% +0.5% 39%         On Base +9.1% +3.8% 31%         Hit +5.0% +4.0% 14%         Single +2.5% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% +3.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -1.7%

History

Gabriel Moreno has 2 plate appearances against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211001011.000
Expected From Contact →0.200.000.000.200.195
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-26Single20%80%
2023-09-28Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.