Matchup Machine

Gabriel Moreno

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for Gabriel Moreno

351st out of 567 (Worst 38%)

Strong advantage for Moreno
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Model Prediction

Gabriel Moreno has a 35.9% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.2% higher than Moreno's typical expectations, and 5.4% higher than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.9%25.5%2.0%4.1%19.4%10.4%20.6%
Moreno+0.2+2.3-0.1-0.7+3.2-2.1+1.4
Morejon+5.4+3.5-0.4-0.3+4.1+1.9-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Moreno is better vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Moreno has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% +1.9% 3%         Walk +4.2% -0.8% 38%         In Play +4.2% -1.2% 39%         On Base +9.1% -0.4% 31%         Hit +5.0% +0.4% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.1%

History

Gabriel Moreno has 1 plate appearance against Adrian Morejon in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.070.000.050.020.069
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Flyout5%2%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.