Gabriel Moreno has a 35.9% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.2% higher than Moreno's typical expectations, and 5.4% higher than batters facing Morejon.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 35.9% | 25.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 19.4% | 10.4% | 20.6% |
Moreno | +0.2 | +2.3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | +3.2 | -2.1 | +1.4 |
Morejon | +5.4 | +3.5 | -0.4 | -0.3 | +4.1 | +1.9 | -4.4 |
Gabriel Moreno is better vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Moreno has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Gabriel Moreno has 1 plate appearance against Adrian Morejon in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.069 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-06 | Flyout | 5% | 2% | 93% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.