Matchup Machine

Gabriel Moreno

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

322nd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for Gabriel Moreno

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Moreno
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Model Prediction

Gabriel Moreno has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 1.7% lower than Moreno's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%25.5%2.1%4.7%18.7%8.5%14.9%
Moreno-1.7+2.3-0.1-0.1+2.5-4.0-4.3
Gillaspie+2.4+0.2-0.6-0.8+1.6+2.2-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Moreno is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moreno has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% -9.1% 3%         Walk +4.2% -5.0% 38%         In Play +4.2% +14.2% 39%         On Base +9.1% +11.5% 31%         Hit +5.0% +16.6% 14%         Single +2.5% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% +7.8% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.2%

History

Gabriel Moreno has 1 plate appearance against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.340.000.000.340.341
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-10-05Forceout34%66%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.