Gabriel Moreno has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 1.7% lower than Moreno's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.0% | 25.5% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 14.9% |
Moreno | -1.7 | +2.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +2.5 | -4.0 | -4.3 |
Gillaspie | +2.4 | +0.2 | -0.6 | -0.8 | +1.6 | +2.2 | -4.4 |
Gabriel Moreno is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moreno has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Gabriel Moreno has 1 plate appearance against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.341 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2022-10-05 | Forceout | 34% | 66% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.