Matchup Machine

Gabriel Moreno

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matchup for Alex Speas

323rd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for Gabriel Moreno

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Moreno
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Model Prediction

Gabriel Moreno has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 1.2% higher than Moreno's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.9%20.5%1.6%4.5%14.3%16.3%19.2%
Moreno+1.2-2.7-0.5-0.3-1.9+3.80.0
Speas+2.9-0.6-0.9-0.6+0.9+3.5-5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Moreno is worse vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Moreno has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Gabriel Moreno hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% +19.9% 3%         Walk +4.2% -0.6% 38%         In Play +4.2% -19.3% 39%         On Base +9.1% -8.2% 31%         Hit +5.0% -7.6% 14%         Single +2.5% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% -5.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years