Matchup Machine

Gabriel Moreno

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matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

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Elvin Rodriguez

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matchup for Gabriel Moreno

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Moreno
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Model Prediction

Gabriel Moreno has a 40.4% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.7% higher than Moreno's typical expectations, and 5.2% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.4%26.1%2.2%5.0%18.9%14.3%16.2%
Moreno+4.7+2.9+0.1+0.1+2.7+1.8-3.0
Rodriguez+5.2+1.5-0.8-1.0+3.2+3.7-5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Moreno is worse vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% +6.5% 3%         Walk +4.2% +4.1% 38%         In Play +4.2% -10.5% 39%         On Base +9.1% +8.4% 31%         Hit +5.0% +4.3% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +3.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years