Matchup Machine

Gabriel Moreno

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matchup for Tanner Houck

262nd out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Gabriel Moreno

473rd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Leans in favor of Moreno
2

Model Prediction

Gabriel Moreno has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 2.4% lower than Moreno's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%21.6%1.6%3.5%16.6%11.6%18.0%
Moreno-2.4-1.5-0.5-1.4+0.3-0.9-1.2
Houck+1.5-0.5-0.5-0.9+1.0+1.9-1.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Moreno is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Moreno has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% -1.6% 3%         Walk +4.2% +0.2% 38%         In Play +4.2% +1.4% 39%         On Base +9.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit +5.0% +0.3% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.9%

History

Gabriel Moreno has 2 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.380.000.130.250.190
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-28Lineout13%22%65%
2023-05-28Forceout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.