Matchup Machine

      Gabriel Moreno

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      matchup for Jack Flaherty

      382nd out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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      Jack Flaherty

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      matchup for Gabriel Moreno

      80th out of 564 (Best 15%)

      Extreme advantage for Moreno
      10

      Model Prediction

      Gabriel Moreno has a 40.5% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 4.8% higher than Moreno's typical expectations, and 6.3% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Gabriel Moreno is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Moreno has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      44%
         Slider (R)
      27%
         Kn-Curve (R)
      18%

      Contact and Outcomes

      9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% +5.8% 3%         Walk +4.2% -1.5% 38%         In Play +4.2% -4.3% 39%         On Base +9.1% -2.0% 31%         Hit +5.0% -0.5% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

      History

      Gabriel Moreno has 4 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual430000210.000
      Expected From Contact →0.200.000.000.200.068
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-18Walk
      2024-05-18Strikeout
      2023-04-17GIDP20%80%
      2023-04-17Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.